This one had me perplexed when it was brought to my attention by an influential person in the local Brisbane cycling community last week. "the stats show it, Australian cycling is in a decline". I called him on it, giving the above superficial observations to why it wasn't. Is it because we are more recognisable in a riding group that I had this belief. Was it because the lycra we wear is now brighter and more noticeable?
The World Transport Policy and Practice published a detailed report (found here) in 2011 which incorporated statistics from the ABS. The basis of their conclusion is comparing bike trips and regularity of rides to total population on a 20 year comparison.
The findings were that between 1986 and 2006, the Australian population grew by 58%, yet the daily average of bike trips only grew by only 21%, representing a net decline in cycling. Yes, the actual hard number of trips is up, yet the percentage of people participating to total population has declined over 20 years.
So that guy is technically right when comparing it to population growth over a period of time. Makes me think what does means for the next 20 years if that 21% participation rate continues to decline at the same rate.
Here is the conclusion that was made in the report: "Cycling participation has not kept pace with population growth, representing a per capita decline in cycling over the past 25 years. Reasons for this are unclear, although a historical lack of investment in cycling infrastructure coupled with mandatory helmet legislation may have contributed. It will be important to repeat the 2011 cycling participation survey"Infrastructure and population density around our cities certainly are leading reasons when compared to overseas countries that have embraced urban development with the bias towards other modes of transport other than cars. Australia has always been behind in this area of development and there would be a linkage between our high rate of deaths and serious injury stats per capita compared to other countries.
It is fair to say that there are pockets of higher participation and growth within the types of cycling that are included defined in the report - those that ride to commute to work, mountain biking, road cycling for fitness and other recreation groups.
Interesting when considering what we observe around us.








